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Market Insight

FX Options Insights 18/11/24

FX Options Insights 18/11/24The upcoming week's EUR/USD trading is likely to be dominated by large FX option strike expiries and their related FX hedging flows, as there is little significant...

Institutional Insights - Credit Agricole USD: 2025 not a 2018-Redux

Credit Agricole - USD: 2025 not a 2018-redux Donald Trump’s victory at the 5 November US elections has revived the theme of USD exceptionalism. In particular, the mix of fiscal stimulus and trade...

FX Options Insights 15/11/24

The EUR/USD has now entered a pivotal price zone that is approximately 1.0600-1.0450, which was the low point in the previous 1-2 years. Strong demand has fuelled a rebound since Thursday's...

FX Options Insights 13/11/24

FX Options Insights 13/11/24Wednesday's U.S. CPI data is now included in overnight/next day expiry FX options, and their premium adjustments serve as a predictor of the expected FX response....

Institutional Insights - Goldman Sachs SP500 CPI Scenario Analysis

Institutional Insights - Goldman Sachs SP500 CPI Scenario AnalysisGS Research: We expect a 0.31% increase in October core CPI (vs. 0.3% consensus), corresponding to a year-over-year rate of 3.30% (vs....

FX Options Insights 12/11/24

FX Options Insights 12/11/24USDCNH - spot hits fresh highs not seen since August, the market is reportedly substantially long on the currency. Volumes of FX options have increased, especially for...

Institutional Insights - Goldman Sachs Flow of Funds Trump 2.0

GS Tactical Flow-of-Funds: Year-End Rally 2.0 According to the Goldman Sachs flow guru Scott Rubner, his note on Wednesday was the most replied to email that he has sent in the last 20 plus years,...

FX Options Insights 11/11/24

FX Options Insights 11/11/24FX options point to possible EUR/USD losses, although there is not much of a panic. Following Trump's victory, the risk premium for the US election was swiftly...

Institutional Insights Credit Agricole - Trump 2.0 & FX

USD: Trump 2.0 and Trump’s ‘impossible trinity’Ahead of Donald Trump’s second presidential term, we can draw severallessons from his first term: (1) fiscal stimulus could increase the chancesof a soft...